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MDOT
Bureau of Aero. |
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Kalamazoo
Air Museum |
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Alpena County Regional Airport
(APN) |
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Ann Arbor Municipal Airport
(ARB) |
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Bellaire, Antrim Co. Airport
(ACB) |
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Benton Harbor, Southwest Mich. Regional Airport
(BEH) |
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Detroit Wayne County Metro Airport (DTW) |
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Grand Rapids, Gerald R. Ford International Airport |
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Grosse Ile
Airport (ONZ) |
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Holland, Park Township
(HLM) |
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Iron Mountain, Ford Airport
(IMT) |
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Jackson County Airport
(JXN) |
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Kalamazoo-Battle Creek International Airport
(AZO) |
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Lansing, Capital City Airport (LAN) |
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Marquette, Sawyer Int'l Airport (SAW) |
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Muskegon County Airport
(MKG) |
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Parchment, Triple H Airport (2H4) |
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Sparta Airport (8D4) |
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Traverse City, Cherry Capital Airport
(TVC) |
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Troy, Oakland-Troy Airport (7D2) |
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White Cloud Airport (42C) |
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| Current Select Aviation
Images |
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UPDATE
IMAGES BY PUSHING "F5" OR
"SHIFT/REFRESH" |
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| Additional
Aviation Images |
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An AIRMET (AIRman's
METeorological Information) advises of weather that may
be hazardous, other than convective activity, to single engine, other light aircraft, and Visual Flight Rule
(VFR) pilots. However, operators of large aircraft may also be concerned with these phenomena. The items covered are:
AIRMET Sierra (IFR):
Ceilings less than 1000 feet and/or visibility less than 3 miles affecting over 50% of the area at one time.
Extensive mountain obscuration
AIRMET Tango (Turbulence):
Moderate turbulence.
Sustained surface winds of 30 knots or more at the surface.
AIRMET Zulu (Icing):
Moderate icing.
Freezing levels.
These AIRMET items are considered to be widespread because they must be affecting or be forecast to affect an area of at least 3000 square miles at any one time. However, if the total area to be affected during the forecast period is very large, it could be that only a small portion of this total area would be affected at any one time.
AIRMETs are routinely issued for 6 hour periods beginning at 0145 UTC during Central Daylight Time and at 0245 UTC during Central Standard Time. AIRMETS are also amended as necessary due to changing weather conditions or
issuance/cancellation of a SIGMET.
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A SIGMET (SIGnificant
METeorlogical Information) advises of weather that is potentially
hazardous to all aircraft other than convective activity. In the conterminous U.S., items covered are:
severe icing, severe or extreme turbulence, dust storms and sandstorms lowering visibilities to less than three (3) statute miles,
and volcanic ash.
These SIGMET items are considered to be widespread because they must be affecting or be forecast to affect an area of at least 3000 square miles at any one time. However, if the total area to be affect during the forecast period is very large, it could be that only a small portion of this total area would be affected at any one time.
SIGMETs are issued for six (6) hour periods for conditions associated with hurricanes and
four (4) hours for all other events. If conditions persist beyond the forecast period, the SIGMET is updated and reissued.
Convective SIGMETs are text consisting of an observation including a
two-hour trend forecast and remarks. It is a description of phenomena compiled from radar reports, satellite data,
pilot reports (PIREPs), or other reports which satisfy the criteria below.
Convective SIGMETs are issued in the conterminous U.S. for any of the following:
Thunderstorms greater than or equal to VIP level 4 affecting 40% or more of an area at least 3000 square miles,
line of thunderstorms, isolated severe thunderstorm due to surface winds greater than or equal to 50 knots,
hail at the surface greater than or equal to 3/4 inches in diameter,
tornadoes, or embedded thunderstorms.
Any Convective SIGMET implies severe or greater turbulence, severe icing, and low level wind shear. A Convective SIGMET may be issued for any convective situation which the forecaster feels is hazardous to all categories of aircraft.
Convective SIGMET bulletins are issued for the Eastern (E), Central (C), and Western (W) United States. The areas separate at 87 and 107 degrees west longitude with
sufficient overlap to cover most cases when the phenomenon crosses the boundaries. Bulletins are issued hourly at Hour+55. The text of the bulletin consists of either an observation and a forecast or just a forecast. The forecast is valid for up to
two (2) hours.
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| The low-level graphics
product is a forecast of aviation weather hazards, primarily
intended to be used as a guidance product for briefing the VFR
pilot. The forecast domain covers the 48 contiguous states,
southern Canada and the coastal waters for altitudes below 24,000
ft. Low altitude Significant Weather charts are issued four times
daily and are valid at fixed times: 0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800
UTC. Each 4 panel chart is divided on the left and right into 12
and 24 hour forecast intervals (based on the current ETA model
available). The upper two panels (SIG WX PROGs) depict freezing
levels, turbulence, and low cloud ceilings and/or restrictions to
visibility (shown as contoured areas of MVFR and IFR conditions).
The lower two panels (SFC PROGs) are provided by the Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center (HPC) and consist of graphical displays
of fronts and precipitation areas. |
An
Area Forecast (FA) is a forecast of Visual Flight Rules (VFR) clouds and weather conditions over an area as large as the size of several states. It must be used in conjunction with the AIRMET Sierra
(IFR) bulletin for the same area in order to get a complete picture of the weather. The area forecast together with the AIRMET Sierra bulletin are used to determine forecast enroute weather and to interpolate conditions at airports which do not have a terminal forecast
(TAF) issued. FAs are issued 3 times a day from Kansas City. The FA consists of a:
12 hour forecast plus a 6 hour outlook. All times are Coordinated Universal Time (UTC). All distances except visibility are in nautical miles. Visibility is in statute miles.
Synopsis section which is a brief summary of the location and movement of fronts, pressure system, and circulation patterns for an 18 hour period.
VFR clouds and weather section which is a 12 hour forecast, in broad terms, of clouds and weather significant to flight operations plus a 6 hour categorical outlook. This section is usually several paragraphs. AIRMET Sierra supplies information regarding Instrument Flight Rule
(IFR) conditions. The breakdown may be by states, by well known geographical areas, or in reference to location and movement of a pressure system or front. A categorical outlook, identified by
OTLK, is included for each area breakdown.
Amendments to the FA are issued as needed. An amended FA is identified by
AMD, a corrected FA by COR, and a delayed FA is identified by
RTD. |
|
Aviation Area
Forecasts (Central US)
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TEXT
ONLY |
| MICHIGAN TERMINAL
AERODROME FORECASTS |
| A Terminal Aerodrome Forecast
(TAF) is a concise statement
of the expected meteorological conditions at an airport during a specified period (usually
24 hours). TAFs use the same weather code found in METAR weather reports.
Click here for
TAF Decoder. |
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APN -
Alpena County Regional Airport, Alpena |
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AZO -
Kalamazoo/Battle Creek International Airport, Kalamazoo |
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CMX -
Houghton County Memorial Airport, Hancock |
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DTW -
Detroit Metropolitan Wayne County Airport, Detroit |
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DET -
Detroit City Airport, Detroit |
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FNT -
Bishop International Airport, Flint |
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GRR -
Gerald R. Ford International Airport, Grand Rapids |
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JXN -
Jackson County-Reynolds Field Airport, Jackson |
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LAN -
Capital City Airport, Lansing |
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MBS -
MBSy International Airport, Saginaw |
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MKG -
Muskegon County Airport, Muskegon |
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MQT -
Marquette County Airport, Marquette |
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PLN -
Pellston Regional Airport of Emmet County, Pellston |
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SAW -
Sawyer Airport, Gwinn |
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TVC -
Cherry Capital Airport, Traverse City |
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| TERMINAL AERODROME
FORECAST IMAGES |
| Cloud Forecasts indicate the prevailing flight conditions. An open magenta circle with an 'X' indicates Low Instrument Flight Rules
(LIFR, ceilings less than 500 feet and/or visibilities less than 1 statute mile). A red circle indicates Instrument Flight Rules
(IFR, ceilings 500 to less than 1000 feet and/or visibilities 1 to less than 3 statute miles), a blue circle indicates Marginal Visual Flight Rules
(MVFR, ceilings 1000 to 3000 feet and/or visibilities 3 to 5 statute miles), and no circle (background color) indicates Visual Flight Rules
(VFR). See the following table. |
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Category
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Ceiling/Visibility
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LIFR
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below 500
feet and/or less than 1
mile
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IFR
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500 to below
1,000 feet and/or 1 to less
than 3 miles
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MVFR
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1,000 to
3,000 feet and/or 3 to 5 miles
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VFR
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greater
than 3,000 feet and greater than
5 miles
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Wind Forecasts use wind barbs to indicate forecast winds to the nearest 5 knots. Standard meteorological convention for plotting winds is used. The tail of the barb indicates the direction of the wind. Click here for sample wind barbs with explanations. On the wind gust graphic, forecast wind gusts of 20 knots or greater are plotted.
Weather Forecasts are plotted using standard weather symbols. Click here for a graphic with weather symbols explained.
"Prevailing conditions" at a forecast location means the weather expected to occur over 50 percent of the time during the forecast period. "Temporary conditions" means weather conditions that have at least 40 percent probability of occurrence at the forecast location. It is important to remember that TAFs are made for a 5 mile radius around an airport. The forecast made for the airport location may not be representative of conditions in nearby areas. The Area Forecast, along with
AIRMETs, SIGMETs, and Convective SIGMETs provide information for en-route weather and weather between airport locations. |
| WINDS &
TEMPERATURES ALOFT FORECASTS |
Winds Aloft are computer prepared and contain forecast wind direction and speed as well as forecast temperatures. The standard FD levels are 3,000 feet, 6,000 feet, 9,000 feet, 12,000 feet, 18,000 feet, 24,000 feet, 30,000 feet, 34,000 feet, and 39,000 feet. All levels through 12,000 feet are true altitude
(MSL). The levels 18,000 feet and above are pressure altitude. Wind direction is from true north. No winds are forecast within 1,500 feet of station elevation. Also, no temperatures are forecast for the 3,000 foot level or for any level within 2,500 feet of station elevation. Temperature is in whole degrees Celsius and assumed to be negative above 24,000 feet. |
| Winds Aloft
Forecast Periods |
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Data Available
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6 hour Valid Times
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12 hour Valid Times
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24 hour Valid Times
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| 0400 UTC |
0500-0900 UTC
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0900-1800 UTC
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1800-0500 UTC
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| 1600 UTC
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1700-2100 UTC
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2100-0600 UTC
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0600-1700 UTC
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| Constant Height Plots show upper air conditions at constant heights, primarily for aviation concerns. The plots include plotted data, temperatures are contoured in yellow, and wind speeds are contoured in blue. Increasing speeds are highlighted in varying shades of blue. |
| From Florida State
University, this form makes use of the UNIDATA Weather program by Peter
P. Neilley and the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) for the purpose
of extracting desired text bulletins available from the National Weather Service
on the Family of Services. Bulletins available include metar decoded, metar full decoded, upperair
raw, upperair decoded, aircraft reports, pilot reports, cman reports, coastal marine reports, hydrologic reports, terminal forecasts, models, ngm model
output, new mrf model output, old mrf model output, Canada mrf model output, new avn model output, old avn model
output, extracted eta forecast, extracted ngm forecast, extracted ruc
forecast, extracted avn forecast, forecast discussions, state forecasts, zone forecasts, marine forecasts, short term forecasts, national discussions, convective outlooks, watches, warnings, river statements, local storm reports, tropical cyclone bulletins, recon reports, public info statements, climatological reports, record reports, station lookup utility,
and administrative messages. |
|
NWS Text Data
Bulletins
|
HTML |
| MICHIGAN
REGION DOPPLER RADAR SITES - NWS |
| MICHIGAN
STATE POLICE REPORTS |
| DETROIT
(DTX) NWS PRODUCTS |
| Quick Links To
DTX Zone
Products |
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| GAYLORD (APX) NWS
PRODUCTS |
| Quick Links To
APX Zone
Products |
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| NATIONAL
CONVECTIVE STATEMENTS |
| GRAND
RAPIDS (GRR) NWS PRODUCTS |
| Quick Links To GRR Zone
Products |
|
| MARQUETTE
(MQT) NWS PRODUCTS |
| Quick Links To
MQT Zone
Products |
|
| NW INDIANA (IWX) NWS
PRODUCTS |
| Quick Links To
IWX Zone
Products |
|
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| CURRENT
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS - MICHIGAN AWOS/ASOS INSTALLATIONS |
| Automated Weather Observation Systems
(AWOS) and Automated Surface Observation Systems (ASOS) are installed at airports across the state. They provide weather observations 24 hours a day without human involvement. The systems report wind speed and direction, ceiling, visibility, temperature, dew point, barometric pressure, and any recorded remarks. Those systems with "present weather" sensors also report cloud cover and height,
and precipitation type. State-owned AWOS systems are installed and maintained by the Bureau of Aeronautics in cooperation with each airport. For additional information and details about each Michigan
AWOS/ASOS site, including frequency and telephone access, please
click
here. |
| MICHIGAN
REGIONAL SURFACE CONDITIONS & WEATHER DATA PAGE - UCAR |
|
| UPPER AIR TEMPS & HUMIDITY |
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Precipitable Water
This is a contour plot of precipitable water in inches. The
contour interval is .2 inches. Precipitable water reflects the amount of water contained
in a vertical column above the surface if it were all precipitated out. This is a good
indicator of how much rain or snow might fall as a result of a thunderstorm or low
pressure system. To roughly figure your possible rainfall, find how much precipitable
water you have overhead, multiply by your humidity (i.e. x .74), divide by 24 to get how
much per hour, estimate how much actual time it will precipitate by looking at radar, then
multiply by how many hours to get the total amount. |
|
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Precipitable Water Composite - UNISYS |
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Precipitable Water - OSU |
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WINDS/TEMPS
ALOFT (Constant Pressure Plots)
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850 mb
or about
5,000'
MSL |
700 mb
or about
10,000
MSL |
500 mb
or about
18,000"
MSL |
300 mb
or about
30,000'
MSL |
250 mb
or about
35,000'
MSL |
200 mb
or about
38,500'
MSL |
| NCAR |
NCAR |
NCAR |
NCAR |
NCAR |
NCAR |
| OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
OSU |
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DISPLAY ALL
UPPER AIR
INDICES IMAGES |
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Lifted Index
This is an index used to determine the stability of the lower
half of the troposphere. The LI field shows instability in the atmosphere by lifting a
parcel of air from the surface to 500 mb and comparing its temperature to that of the
environment. Where LIs are less than 0, thunderstorms are possible. The lower the number,
the more unstable the atmosphere is and as a result, the stronger the thunderstorms could
become. Values of -4 or lower indicate areas where severe thunderstorms are possible.
Values > 10 indicate areas of stable weather where skies are generally clear. The risk
of severe weather activity is defined as follows:
LI > 2 No significant activity
0 < LI < 2 Showers probable, isolated thunderstorms possible
-2 < LI < 0 Thunderstorms probable
-4 < LI < -2 Severe thunderstorms possible
LI < -4 Severe thunderstorms probable, tornadoes possible
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Lifted Index - OSU |
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Surface To 500 mb Lifted Index
- UNISYS |
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Theta-E
Another instability tool. Ridges indicate unstable air. |
|
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Theta-E Plot - UCAR |
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K-Index
The K Index field shows instability in the atmosphere as it
relates to the development of air mass thunderstorms. The KI is similar to Total Totals
index except that it takes into account moist air at 700 mb contributing to air mass
thunderstorm development. It is based on the 850 to 500 mb lapse rate plus 850 mb dewpoint
minus the 700 mb dewpoint depression. It is defined as follows: K = T850 - T500 + Td850 -
(T700 - Td700). Strong Springtime thunderstorms often require dry air at mid levels to cap
the convection. On the other hand, summer air mass thunderstorms need a very moist
atmosphere at mid levels to prevent evaporation through entrainment. Where KIs are greater
than 35, air mass thunderstorms are likely. the higher the number, the higher the
probability. Values < 10 indicate areas of stable weather where skies are generally
clear. The risk of air mass thunderstorms is defined as follows:
K < 15 0% Air mass t-storm probability
15-20 <20% Air mass t-storm probability
21-25 20-40% Air mass t-storm prob.
26-30 40-60% Air mass t-storm prob.
31-35 60-80% Air mass t-storm prob.
36-40 80-90% Air mass t-storm prob.
K > 40 >90% Air mass t-storm probability
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K-Index - UNISYS |
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K-Index - OSU |
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Showalter Index
This is an index used to determine the stability of the lower
half of the troposphere. An air parcel is lifted from an initial position at 850 mb where
localized low level influences are greatly reduced. It is lifted dry adiabatically to its
LCL and then pseudo-adiabatically to 500 mb. The environmental temperature is then
subtracted from the parcel temperature to obtain the value of the Showalter index. The
risk of severe weather activity is defined as follows:
SI > 3 No significant activity
1 < SI < 3 Showers probable, isolated thunderstorms possible
-2 < SI < 1 Showers probable, isolated thunderstorms possible
-2 < SI < 1 Thunderstorms probable
-6 < SI < -2 Severe t-storms possible
SI < -6 Tornadoes possible
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Showalter Index - OSU |
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Vertical Total Totals Index
A measure of the thunderstorm potential, according to the
following scale and color fill scheme:
< 25 Thunderstorms unlikely
25-26 Scattered thunderstorms
27-30 Scattered t-storms/ few severe/ isolated tornadoes
31-32 Scattered-numerous t-storms/ few tornadoes
33-34 Numerous thunderstorms/ few tornadoes
> 34 Numerous t-storms/ scattered severe/scattered tornadoes
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Vertical Total Totals Plot - OSU |
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| Providing satellite, radar and data analyses, as well as model forecasts
from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) operational
ETA, NGM or Aviation (AVN) models.
|
|
GOES SOUNDINGS PRODUCTS
DATA - NOAA/NESDIS
|
| Horizontal
Soundings Fields |
TPW, LI, CAPE, and CINH fields. Full U.S., Pacific, and Regional
displays |
| Archive
of Soundings Fields |
24 hour archive of
TPW, LI, CAPE, 850mb Temp, 700mb Temp, and 500mb
Temp fields (for various regions) |
| Vertical
Sounding Profiles |
Hourly Skew-T diagrams for over 450 sites across the U.S., Mexico,
Caribbean, W Atlantic, E Pacific, and S Canada (including 24hr
archive) |
| Vertical
Profile Loops |
24 hour JAVA loops of Skew-T diagrams for all above mentioned 450
sites |
| Cross
Sections |
Theta-E, Mixing Ratio,
RH, and Wet Bulb cross sections for 18 selected
pairs of end points |
| Cross
Section Loops |
Theta-E, Mixing Ratio,
RH, and Wet Bulb cross section loops for 18
selected pairs of end points |
| 3-Hour
Time Difference Fields |
TPW, LI, CAPE, and CINH fields showing 3 hour changes for various U.S.
regional sectors |
| Colorized
Soundings Imagery |
Colorized maps of various derived Soundings parameters over
concatenated GOES-East and GOES-West sectors |
| Colorized
Soundings Loops |
Colorized loops of various derived Soundings parameters over
concatenated GOES-East and GOES-West sectors |
| PW
Coverage and Adjustments |
Display showing latest GOES Soundings coverage with color coding
showing GOES adjustments to first guess |
| Raw
Soundings Files |
Binary format and McIDAS format Soundings data |
| Lake
Effect Snow Support |
Hourly GOES Total Precipitable Water Estimates for Great Lakes Region
(Seasonal) |
|

|
SkewT diagrams are derived using
data collected by radiosondes, carried by balloon, and released
twice each day (00 & 12 UTC) at more than 1000 sites worldwide. This thermodynamic diagram, or
SkewT/LogP diagram, also known as a sounding, is a graph showing the vertical distribution of the temperature, dew point, wind direction, and wind speed of the radiosonde as it rises through the atmosphere
(up an altitude of about 30 km or 100,000 feet) near the site where
it was launched. For more information, check out these excellent
guides to Skew-T's from OSU
& NEMAS. |
| NPN
WIND PROFILERS - UCAR |
|

|
It is very important to severe weather forecasting to know what the upper level winds are doing - much more often than the twice daily balloon soundings. Hourly upper air winds are available through displays of radar-derived winds. The winds are detected by a network of wind profilers - Doppler radars with stationary antennae, pointed straight upward - that can "see" which way the air is moving and how fast it's moving. The system is called a "profiler" because it gives air speed and direction data from near the surface to above the
tropopause, thus it provides a vertical profile of the earth's atmosphere. |
| Analysis
& Forecast Models |
For
additional Great Lakes area surface and upper air analysis
graphics, visit our new RUC Analysis & Forecast
page. The FSL
RUC ANALYSIS & FORECAST MAPS
(RUC - Rapid Update Cycle)
is an operational atmospheric prediction system comprising
primarily of a numerical forecast model and an analysis system
to initialize that model. MAPS is the research counterpart to
the RUC. The RUC has been developed to serve users needing
short-range weather forecasts, including those in the US
aviation community. |
| ADDITIONAL NUMERICAL MODEL SOURCES |
|